surftrader

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Türkiye to win the second half?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.77
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.51
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.84
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.9
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $16.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19.34
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 90°F or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19.34
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19.34
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.89

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

No position

Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.89

No position

Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

No position

Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

No position

Will Angola win on 2026-06-05?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Morocco leading at halftime?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

No position

Will Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Mexico vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

No position

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

No position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

No position

Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?