No position
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $33.19
- Potential payout
- $73.75
- Potential profit
- $40.56
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$16.81
Polymarket Trader
PassCap
0xee12a58117b2caa8e2bd37bc36ccbf6e3bc8a5f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.52
- Realized PnL
- -$71.64
- Win rate
- 35.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $50.33
- Potential payout
- $51.02
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.32
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.51
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.67
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No 67.8% 73.75 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?No 98% 51.02 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 54% 67.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 74% 67.57 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 20% 238.09 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes 5.6% 718.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes 7% 718.27 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 53% 27.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 52% 24.59 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 27.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 61% 24.59 shares