Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $21.45
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Polymarket Trader
0xee1c...51b9
0xee1ca8e1f363f646ede8cb4bbe3c929a8a0551b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $70.61
- Realized PnL
- $4.83
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $16.26
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $12.88
- Potential profit
- $7.47
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.6%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $9.57
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $7.57
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?Down 76% 10.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.2% 10.1 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No 62% 16.26 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 73% 3.89 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99% 6 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of June 22 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 54% 9.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 53% 9.25 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 57% 8.14 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 7.57 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 79% 12.66 shares