Polymarket Trader

lukny1410

0xee318aaeeb668e75970b4809533ce4e92ca64735

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.79K
Realized PnL: $9.28K
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $14.04K
Potential payout: $14.13K
Potential profit: $91.85
User PnL: $324.71

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $6.28K
Potential payout: $6.41K
Potential profit: $134.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $250.03

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $153.52
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $309.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $403
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $88

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $162.24
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $73.13

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $906.55
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $181.74
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $108.09

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $310.34
Potential payout: $313
Potential profit: $2.66
User PnL: $11.59

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $299.47
Potential payout: $302.65
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $18.01

No position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $38.39
Potential payout: $52.95
Potential profit: $14.56
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $51.81
Potential profit: $15.81
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $632.09

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.89

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.27

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$157.06

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.14K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 99.7% 404.95 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 80.9% 120 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 78.8% 104.99 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 77.9% 173 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 95.4% 331.32 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 71.8% 390.3 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 67.8% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 600 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 88.5% 555.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 500 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 94% 449 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

No 99.9% 423 shares