Polymarket Trader

Jolish

0xee35ab1489d9c3dd74fdf14c733e329b03bda039

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35
Realized PnL: $89.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.46
Potential profit: $111.46
User PnL: -$1.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.32
Potential profit: $109.32
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.47
Potential profit: $51.47
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.63
Potential profit: $20.63
User PnL: -$3.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Buffett say "Trump" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.25
Potential profit: $16.25
User PnL: -$7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $13.64
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $10.34
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.78

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: -$8.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will GameStop purchase Bitcoin by April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 87% 31.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Down 31% 16.13 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 50% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 52% 14.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 35% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 14% 17.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 7% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Yes 79% 7.53 shares