Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$18.43
Polymarket Trader
Piercef6
0xee3d1339dc06c1e5906590d7967fe564952b206c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.95
- Realized PnL
- $15.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.99
- Potential payout
- $15.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Y
Yes position
Will Sydney Eugene be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$14.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 100 and 129 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will four or more people dissent the March Fed decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sydney Eugene be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Yes 97% 15 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 99.8% 27 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.8% 25 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 99.7% 21 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?No 99% 18 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 99% 17 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?Yes 99.5% 20 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?Yes 98% 20 shares
- Will Christi Jacobsen be the Republican nominee for MT-01?No 99% 20 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 99% 16 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?No 99.5% 28.14 shares