Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $58.72K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $273.6
Polymarket Trader
AleVasa
0xee673115cc963360644f94fbf3d84abcef29d37d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.1K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.71K
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $642
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.36K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$334.44
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$102.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.05
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $90.6
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.68
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.44
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $30.43
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $15.61
No position
Lula out before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Fernanda Torres win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141.54
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.01K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.3% 10,000 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.8% 6,000 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.5% 10,000 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.7% 1,999.99 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.6% 1,001.19 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.7% 6,000 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.6% 882.97 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.7% 1,598.77 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.6% 554.66 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.6% 5,000 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.6% 10,000 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.4% 10,000 shares