Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
Polymarket Trader
Fireflytrade
0xee7fda2e80f87ed55f2fcdc1102aded5b7d6d5d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.21
- Realized PnL
- $10.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39K
Yes position
Will $MELANIA FDV be $1-3b on Friday?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.67
No position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
No position
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Nets
Ends Jan 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 98.1% 11.21 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 20,885.17 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.5% 20,885.18 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 30?No 54% 151.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?No 99.4% 78.22 shares
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?No 75% 74.12 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 85% 46.31 shares
- XRP Up or Down - August 26, 1PM ETDown 50% 2,000 shares
- XRP Up or Down - August 26, 1PM ETDown 50% 2,000 shares
- XRP Up or Down - August 26, 1PM ETDown 50% 980 shares
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No 99.7% 1.15 shares
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No 99.7% 2.35 shares