Polymarket Trader

kmmkmkmk

0xee82a022ed23e2e1877a828bd058eaacaf70f011

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $828.41
Realized PnL: $4.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$58.7

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.66
Potential profit: $456.66
User PnL: -$337.93

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$261

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $35.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $264.15
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $37.73
Potential payout: $276.41
Potential profit: $238.68
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $162.5
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $112.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $87.02
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $170.2
Potential payout: $173.85
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $65.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $84.75
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.75

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.9%
Current value: $40.94
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $59.06
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $20.64

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $95.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $64.49
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $84.34
Potential profit: $84.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$69.96

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $0.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $975.93

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.75

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.76

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.04

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.1

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.3

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.37

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.97

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.8

Yes position

Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.6

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.92

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.39

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 83% 84.34 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Portugal 34% 147.06 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 456.66 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 98.03 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 87% 100 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 87% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.1% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 1,677.19 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 2% 138.39 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4.4% 76.92 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 100 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 40% 150.01 shares