No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $191.01
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $56.18
Polymarket Trader
FractalDrift
0xee908b26c21b38bf130fb0e344c14f205cf7a659
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.06K
- Realized PnL
- $150.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.54
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.68
- Potential profit
- $13.68
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Over position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.74
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Vivo Keyd Stars position
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
PSG Talon position
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.39
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Anyones Legend position
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Team WE position
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
T1 position
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 89% 2,247.19 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 6 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 10.07 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 373.04 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 95.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 2,041.65 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 24.39 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsBilibili Gaming 67% 18.86 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsG2 Esports 46% 0.21 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsG2 Esports 46% 35 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)T1 94% 21.28 shares