Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $16.15
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $7.65
Polymarket Trader
bushibadage
0xee96181d1fb2d1b948e4c6724c831a134b502008
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.3
- Realized PnL
- $309.98
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $494.5
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Drake have exactly 10 songs in the Billboard top 10?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $220.16
- Potential profit
- $207.61
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.67
- Potential profit
- $216.67
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.54
- Potential profit
- $115.54
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $94.44
- Potential profit
- $85.94
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $76.4
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $39.19
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $23.58
Yes position
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $18.67
fnatic position
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will BNB dip to $700 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No 9% 94.44 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 3,928.57 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 2.9% 68.97 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 1.5% 200 shares
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 20.4% 97.04 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?No 13% 115.54 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.6% 301.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?Yes 0.2% 600 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.3% 301.89 shares
- Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Yes 0.3% 400 shares
- Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?Yes 2% 150 shares