notfinishedreadingthebookyet

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $39.17
Potential profit: $38.6
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $35.24
Potential profit: $35.05
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Phil Foden win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35.23
Potential profit: $35.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $33.79
Potential profit: $33.72
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $30.42
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $30.27
Potential profit: $30.09
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $29.94
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.61
Potential profit: $26.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Estevao win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.07
Potential profit: $26.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24.16
Potential profit: $24.15
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.74
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $20.95
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.17
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.67
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $21.79
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $21.78
Potential profit: $21.65
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $21.78
Potential profit: $21.23
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $21.31
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $20.75
Potential profit: $20.44
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.3
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $18.91
Potential profit: $18.73
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Yes position

Will Uruguay finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Multiplier: 7.84x
User PnL: $4.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 13.3%
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 17.2%
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-25?