Yes position
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $50.95
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$46.04
Polymarket Trader
zortak
0xee9c93d782d209eb81eeb86b881ebcaea37a3039
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.05
- Realized PnL
- $377.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.08
- Potential profit
- $119.08
- User PnL
- -$10.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.02
- Potential profit
- $87.02
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.09
- Potential profit
- $82.09
- User PnL
- -$37.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.98
- Potential profit
- $69.98
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.88
- Potential profit
- $69.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.87
- Potential profit
- $65.87
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $56.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.69
- Potential profit
- $36.69
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.66
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.52
- Potential profit
- $19.52
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.07
- Potential profit
- $17.07
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.79
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.1
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $20.93
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 26?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?No 53% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 24?No 58% 12.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?Yes 60% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 8?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 7?No 60% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?No 48% 14.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 3?No 55% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 30?No 53% 16.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 29?No 56% 2.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?No 49% 9.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?Yes 98% 5 shares