Polymarket Trader

WeatherAlpha-

@marcela117798

0xeeb26c51ca6dc55825c95df398b837796afb2e13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.72K
Realized PnL: $44.06
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $0.87
User PnL: $113.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $29.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $449.53
Potential payout: $449.75
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $51.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $128.23
Potential payout: $128.29
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $88.01
Potential payout: $88.05
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $10.29

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.92
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $48.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $40.93
Potential payout: $43.31
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 32.4%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $21.77
Potential profit: $14.73
Multiplier: 3.09x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $15.53
Potential payout: $16.26
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $12.63
Potential payout: $13.36
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?

No 97% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 97% 16.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Yes 93.8% 16.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

No 97% 13.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Yes 95% 7.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Yes 94.4% 19.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?

Yes 23.7% 6.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?

Yes 24.1% 14.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 94.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 98% 150 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 98.4% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 89.9% 32.79 shares