Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $202.29
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $56.59
Polymarket Trader
gertrude74
0xeec5dfef70e6dde1fd964909508fdd124ee80e74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $299.79
- Realized PnL
- $666.85
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $24.12
- Potential payout
- $910.08
- Potential profit
- $885.96
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$28.83
Yes position
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $853.04
- Potential profit
- $847.49
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $578.37
- Potential profit
- $569.41
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $508.07
- Potential profit
- $504.77
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $486.74
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$16.75
Yes position
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $420.4
- Potential profit
- $417.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.86
- Potential profit
- $392.86
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $375.73
- Potential profit
- $367.69
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$12.36
Yes position
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $246.05
- Potential profit
- $244.45
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.85
- Potential profit
- $233.85
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.12
- Potential profit
- $212.12
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.14
- Potential profit
- $140.14
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $28.12
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $96.87
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.48
- Potential profit
- $104.48
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.21
- Potential profit
- $84.21
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Timothe Sivignon (FRA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.19
- Potential profit
- $51.19
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.62
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.52
Yes position
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.71
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.68
Yes position
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.73
Yes position
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.65
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $11.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Yes position
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by October 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Trump positive favorability on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 12% 191.5 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7.1% 1,409.44 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 29% 403.09 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?2.8% 34.64 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Yes 10% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?Yes 90% 4.44 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Yes 5% 88.93 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Yes 13.4% 88.93 shares
- Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.4% 836.37 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 19% 84.21 shares
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes 29.3% 51.19 shares
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes 15.8% 31.56 shares