Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $10.97K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Polymarket Trader
Alacritous
0xeecd4548a9b8b10716ac9eb379279e546e4c9faa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.83K
- Realized PnL
- $28.31K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.84K
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$976.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $56.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $320.96
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $502.64
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $297.57
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $451.63
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $29.11
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$800
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $385.08
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $966.54
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$114.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $86.83
- Potential payout
- $598.81
- Potential profit
- $511.98
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$413.17
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $479.62
- Potential profit
- $479.62
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $121.92
- Potential payout
- $121.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
North Carolina State position
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.22K
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Capitals
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
North Carolina State position
Memphis vs. North Carolina State
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.69
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.71
No position
Solana all time high in Q3?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.23
No position
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.41
Liberty Flames position
Liberty Flames vs. Dayton Flyers
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.58
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Biden senile during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.95
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$31.31
No position
2024 June hottest on record?
Ends Jul 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.23
Tulane position
Tulane vs. Ole Miss
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No 51% 94.33 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No 53% 94.34 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 86% 1,162.79 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 41.7% 479.62 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?No 98.4% 121.92 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.9% 337.47 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No 71.4% 2,800.21 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 59% 508.47 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 59% 847.79 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 77% 1,298.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 37% 1,081.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 37% 270.54 shares