Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.02K
- Potential payout
- $66.83K
- Potential profit
- $57.81K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$26.13K
Polymarket Trader
luckyduck42
0xeed10490c38abdd3e6faaf69f9dec6f5d9efd782
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.02K
- Realized PnL
- $44.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.91K
- User PnL
- -$5.85K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$131.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Ethereum above $3900 on September 8?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406
- Potential profit
- $406
- User PnL
- -$12.18
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.72
- Potential profit
- $299.72
- User PnL
- -$257.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.64
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.89
Yes position
Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.03
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 36.6% 16,118.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 36% 5,555.56 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35.6% 5,612.27 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes 66.4% 1,690.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes 50% 3,381.67 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes 76.6% 7,113.96 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 51,541.7 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 99.1% 5,907.84 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.8% 5,866.41 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 75.9% 26,353.97 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 79.4% 25,187.74 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 72% 5,866.42 shares