Polymarket Trader

Niqidron

0xeee7f0c7858e43e998a2051e797d90fa5a9ceba5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.29
Realized PnL: $5.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $8.89
Potential payout: $44.9
Potential profit: $36.01
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.86
Potential profit: $3.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jac Caglianone advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $3.72
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Junior Caminero advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

SHEIN IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

No 20% 5 shares
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

No 89% 1.12 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

No 2.6% 38.46 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

No 2.6% 38.46 shares
Kash Patel out by July 31?

No 91.2% 1.1 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 6% 16.67 shares
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?

Yes 85.7% 1.17 shares
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?

Yes 85.3% 1.17 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No 86% 1.16 shares
Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

No 64% 1.56 shares