Polymarket Trader

0xEeF0d3B82ba9fAC49E5DAA9aDeF89BD6AEf9141F-1779298290225

0xeef0d3b82ba9fac49e5daa9adef89bd6aef9141f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $105.25
Realized PnL: $48.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.32
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $40.8
Potential profit: $40.31
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.03
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $16.39
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $12.27
Potential payout: $19.02
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.27

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $10.44
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.74
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $8.42
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.61
Potential profit: $3.61
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.87

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?

No 83.1% 8.42 shares
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 2.5% 40.8 shares
Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 99.8% 14.7 shares
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 12.5 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 84% 5.95 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 93.5% 17.11 shares