Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $37.05
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Polymarket Trader
xaeroqkAtProtonMe3
0xeef147664532734b38558f77a6fc1c5948a421b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.16
- Realized PnL
- -$4.08
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $17.78
- Potential payout
- $32.93
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $14.51
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $6.13
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $11.95
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?Yes 13.3% 41.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 51.9% 16.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?Yes 84.5% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?No 99.8% 10.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 54% 16.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?Yes 20% 37.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?No 83.7% 11.95 shares