Polymarket Trader

Chaos-Lover

0xeef5d83550993adcd9ff212fca7a64c060b93cb5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $12.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.44K
Potential profit: $6.44K
User PnL: -$598.16

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$637.15

Yes position

Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930.59
Potential profit: $930.59
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

$GME all time high in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.41
Potential profit: $887.41
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Daniel Penny found guilty?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.62
Potential profit: $669.62
User PnL: -$264.38

Yes position

Will Haley place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?

Ends Jan 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.13
Potential profit: $621.13
User PnL: -$322.99

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.42
Potential profit: $492.42
User PnL: -$162.5

Trump position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Ends Sep 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.2
Potential profit: $393.2
User PnL: -$298.83

Yes position

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.35
Potential profit: $386.35
User PnL: -$154.54

No position

Will Biden speak at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.44
Potential profit: $134.44
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.3% or less on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?

Ends Apr 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.34

Yes position

Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021?

Ends Dec 10, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.11

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.07

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.55

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022?

Ends Mar 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.99

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13?

Ends Nov 14, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.64

No position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 38.0% or higher on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.56

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022?

Ends Jul 18, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.49

Yes position

Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.75

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.34

No position

Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?

Ends Nov 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.59

No position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.6% or higher on March 2?

Ends Mar 3, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.56

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022?

Ends Jan 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.29

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23?

Ends Nov 24, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.12

No position

Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022?

Ends Feb 21, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.34

No position

Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.7

No position

Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?

Ends Nov 4, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.82

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022?

Ends Jun 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.69

No position

Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?

Ends Nov 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.11

No position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.96

Bitcoin position

Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.4

Yes position

Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022?

Ends Apr 20, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?

Yes 69.2% 134.44 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 31% 300 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 33% 1,633.88 shares
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?

Yes 99.8% 539.98 shares
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

Yes 40% 386.35 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 36.9% 542.02 shares
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?

Yes 92.6% 539.98 shares
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Yes 94% 909.09 shares
Daniel Penny found guilty?

Yes 39.5% 669.62 shares
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Yes 22% 909.09 shares
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Yes 80% 36.37 shares
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Yes 50% 100 shares