Polymarket Trader

annaiv

0xeefa1d6b5d2b643c7626e6b62e025ae5dd4d01e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.79
Realized PnL: $16.96
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.94
Potential profit: $56.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.49
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.21

Sabalenka position

Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Steelers position

Steelers vs. Browns

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.57
Potential profit: $9.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Islanders position

Islanders vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$2

Cincinnati position

Navy vs. Cincinnati

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Pacers position

Spurs vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Maple Leafs position

Senators vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

No 46% 10.87 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET

Up 99.9% 4.9 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET

Up 51% 4.9 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 19% 10.52 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 98.4% 5.4 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 37% 5.41 shares
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

No 54% 7.69 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

No 39% 7.69 shares
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 5.17 shares