Polymarket Trader

mao01

@hexiaomao8

0xef02ae62bf79392eaaa2c7a4a07daa872d444f7e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.21
Realized PnL: $611.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $11.23K
Potential profit: $11.22K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $40.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $2.12
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $1.95
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will South Africa win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Panama win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Vincent Kompany be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will David Silva be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.1

No position

Will Trump disparage Zelenskyy on Sunday?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.5

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.49

Ajagba position

Zuffa Boxing 3: Ajagba vs. Martin (Heavyweight, Main)

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.19

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 12PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.26

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 10AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 10AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.86

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 96.6% 30.3 shares
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 0.3% 1.07 shares
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 0.3% 1.07 shares
Will Hannah Spencer win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Yes 0.2% 1.08 shares
Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 0.4% 1.07 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5

Over 46% 1.3 shares
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 96.4% 52 shares
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 0.3% 1.07 shares
Will Harry Higgs win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 0.2% 1.02 shares
Will Nick Buckley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Yes 0.2% 1.08 shares
Will Ghana concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 0.3% 1.05 shares
Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 0.3% 1.07 shares