Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $18.04
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Polymarket Trader
0xef0a...7063
0xef0ad51633126e0eaad54e41fb82cf6cb92a7063
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.33
- Realized PnL
- $18.19
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 6.05 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 23.3% 6.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 31% 7 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 57% 8.14 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 56% 3.05 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 49% 9 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 53% 3.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?No 34% 7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 59.6% 9.66 shares