Polymarket Trader

theodicyyy

0xef0b4d3adbff38cc8be503b49d01db0bdca210f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $234.41
Realized PnL: $436.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $57.28
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $118.16
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $27.28

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $148.4
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$14.55

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $105.49
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $16.46
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $55.49

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $112.21
Potential profit: $111.48
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $92.1
Potential profit: $89.43
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $62.04
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.04

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Kings

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.21

Indiana position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.66

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.83

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Lakers position

Raptors vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Over position

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Jazz position

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Under position

Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Raptors position

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Seahawks position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Grizzlies position

Magic vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Lakers position

Spread: Lakers (-4.5)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Over position

OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Over position

Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?

Yes 2.4% 92.1 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 8 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 42% 47.62 shares
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Germany (-1.5)

33.5% 14.94 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 48.8% 61.48 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 89% 112.36 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 112.21 shares
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Yes 76% 65.79 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 175.44 shares