Yes position
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $8.48
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
0xEf0d657D8B999FECd0bA31215E36Ec13A46eef1C-1770353774067
0xef0d657d8b999fecd0ba31215e36ec13a46eef1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.01
- Realized PnL
- $907.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
L1ga Team position
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.66
Inner Circle position
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.34
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.61
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.38
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.12
Zero Tenacity position
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
4ikibamboni position
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.47
Team Nemesis position
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.51
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.51
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.02
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.48
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.61
HULIGANI position
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.25
L1ga Team position
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Zero Tenacity position
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.73
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.43
OG position
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.1
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.73
GLYPH position
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora 50% 42.41 shares
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports 13% 49.86 shares
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under 1% 9.15 shares
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerAurora 41.7% 45.96 shares
- Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-17?No 12% 10.52 shares
- UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Kelvin Gastelum 0.1% 10.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 8?No 99.9% 40.81 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?No 98.3% 28.17 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?No 97.7% 29.07 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 8?No 57.3% 39.32 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?No 57.1% 30.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp 30% 9.04 shares