Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $349.66
- Potential payout
- $370.01
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Polymarket Trader
manssstik
@anksleep
0xef0dbcfa95679c0d3bd163d7dcc06ee16bfe65a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $385.56
- Realized PnL
- $250.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Spirit position
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $22.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Taylor Swift be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.2
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.08
9z position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Over 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Texas Rangers position
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit 13% 6.12 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z 13% 38.61 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit 85.6% 88 shares
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons 27% 25 shares
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons 69% 70 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 25 shares
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons 42% 47.62 shares
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Astralis 58% 30 shares
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2G2 69% 20 shares
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2FUT Esports 71% 17 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 91% 300 shares
- Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers 98.2% 25 shares