Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $331.68
- Potential payout
- $424.96
- Potential profit
- $93.28
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $231.68
Polymarket Trader
Kiyex
0xef0df52bbb50a72e01f291bd4effa2b74a393938
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $331.68
- Realized PnL
- $69.1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.75
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.44
Yes position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 131.58 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 96.1% 113.37 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes 4% 402.57 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes 5% 402.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.2% 169.49 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 88.2% 113.38 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 50% 217.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 76.5% 130.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 59% 169.49 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No 99.2% 108.5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 92% 141.9 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 70.5% 141.91 shares