Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $118.86
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$481.14
Polymarket Trader
0xEF14B870b532647F29354Ff24476d7bD5FF7C335-1767604346204
0xef14b870b532647f29354ff24476d7bd5ff7c335
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $181.92
- Realized PnL
- $83.72K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $62.67
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $981.83
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$37.33
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.08K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.62K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.13
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$999
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.9% 12,595.58 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 78.2% 52,431.8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 70.9% 38,633.97 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 91.2% 10,528.07 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 9.6% 1,044.5 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.9% 78,784.66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 11.1% 9,828.78 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 44% 2,461.66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 39% 2,461.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 5.2% 114.61 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 9.4% 10,225.86 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 5.5% 109.09 shares