No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $91.59
- Potential payout
- $92.23
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $3.5
Polymarket Trader
trade-bet
0xef32ca22132e192cb40dc8ebbee3ac04df5e265c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.65
- Realized PnL
- $4.58K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 5.92x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780.68
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.98
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.46
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.47
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.17
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.17
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.17
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $93.5
No position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.34
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.8% 3,270 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.9% 6.27 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 88.8% 62.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 0.28 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 61% 789 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 89% 543.17 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 64% 9 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 62.2% 456.05 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 88.9% 823.1 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 66.1% 848 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 89.3% 636.72 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 85% 10 shares