No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $5.22K
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $181.01
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $536.83
Polymarket Trader
kenegg
0xef4879c8a44587983628158c813948d44c19e5db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.24K
- Realized PnL
- $2.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $55.11
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $115.05
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $110K on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.03
- Potential profit
- $33.03
- User PnL
- -$6.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.52
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.95
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.45
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.68
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.44
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.38
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.13
Yes position
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.13
No position
French election called by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.92
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.68
Yes position
Bitcoin above $104K on September 3?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.33
Yes position
Bitcoin above $106K on September 8?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.67
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.79
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.37
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.1
No position
Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.45
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
Yes position
Bitcoin above $104K on September 10?
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.24
No position
French election called by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 64% 707.18 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 95.6% 1,511.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88.1% 1,135.34 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 90% 1,666.67 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 98% 3,273.63 shares
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No 99.9% 1,233.98 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 84% 2,601.39 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 19.8% 505 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 91.7% 196.27 shares