Polymarket Trader

0xef53...f599

0xef53444543fd207be9b86481724afdcf5b83f599

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $81.5
Realized PnL: $852.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $51.54
Potential payout: $51.67
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $46.46
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $26.21
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $14.35
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $5.54
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $5.3
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.08
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Valentova position

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $173.32

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.62

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $46.72

Jazz position

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.84

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Trail Blazers position

Rockets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.95

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.44

Kings position

Knicks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.6

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.07

Yes position

Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.36

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Spurs

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.24

Heat position

Thunder vs. Heat

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Blackhawks position

Blackhawks vs. Predators

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43

Kings position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

Predators position

Predators vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

Over position

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.15

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.61

Pacers position

Heat vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

BIG Academy position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 28.8 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 110 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 7.13 shares
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Yes 78% 34.85 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Under 2% 15.82 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu

Antonia Ruzic 40% 24.91 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 26% 39.27 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 33.02 shares
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Over 99% 18.98 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 6.67 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55% 10 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 80% 31.98 shares