Polymarket Trader

0xef57F1b429Dd03aE45E835cC26430bE755E2123E-1763433364426

0xef57f1b429dd03ae45e835cc26430be755e2123e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $154.8
Realized PnL: $552.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.24
Potential profit: $192.24
User PnL: -$49.98

Cardinals position

Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$86.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $114.8
Potential payout: $135.86
Potential profit: $21.06
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.08
Potential profit: $115.08
User PnL: -$26.47

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 135.86 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 96.2% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

No 99.9% 153 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 153.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 45.6% 184.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 37.4% 272.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Up 99% 139.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Up 24.4% 25.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 99.9% 157.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 99.9% 55.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 77% 55.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Down 99.9% 130.43 shares