Polymarket Trader

dilbo

0xef587fbfb1f94ed63f3067d6b9752ebfb3c81976

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $727.5
Realized PnL: -$2.85K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.47K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.66
Potential profit: $617.66
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $19.74
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $506.58
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $97.62
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $378.57
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $297.69
Potential payout: $461.54
Potential profit: $163.85
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $229.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $60.6
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $239.4
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $258.68
Potential profit: $248.72
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$20.04

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $25.96
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $166.35
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $42.11
Potential payout: $142.73
Potential profit: $100.63
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $101.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $19.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $63.75
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $61.2
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $14.63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $60.38
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $31.88
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.67

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.19

Under position

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.61

Under position

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.88

Under position

Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.98

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Drake release an album by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.35

No position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.83

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.73

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$151.62

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$2.19K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Under 62.8% 318.61 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

Chicago White Sox 42% 238.1 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.4% 43,137.6 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5

Under 51% 14.43 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 74% 350 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 21% 476.19 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 461.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Down 68% 36.76 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5

Under 40% 95.05 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4.4% 1,111 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 350.88 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4% 1,250 shares