No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- $65.95
Polymarket Trader
wagmiser
@Dinky1369308
0xef6278f3e13d4a516fbb14b0d7ad2649ce990179
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.78K
- Realized PnL
- $2.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $972.2
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $378.08
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$229.55
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $46.54
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $987.71
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $15.51
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $541.95
- Potential profit
- $541.95
- User PnL
- -$475.7
Yes position
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $61.61
- Potential payout
- $424.91
- Potential profit
- $363.3
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $312.08
- Potential payout
- $365
- Potential profit
- $52.93
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $74.83
Yes position
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $26.95
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $193.05
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $287.79
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $222.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.08
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $150.38
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.71
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $131.52
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.1
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.35
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.38
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.12
No position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.76
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.45
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.27
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will Vance say "God" or "Hell" 5+ times during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.38
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 76% 449.72 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 65% 300 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No 87% 689.95 shares
- Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No 99.3% 560.77 shares
- Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No 99.4% 191.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 135 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 88.3% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 97% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 4% 2,000 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes 62.7% 61 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?No 88% 420 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?No 87% 121.95 shares