0xef65...7249

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $196.42
Potential profit: $190.43
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $162.24
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $162.5
Potential profit: $162.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $122.56
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.05
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $91.26
Potential profit: $87.11
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $79.04
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $81.29
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $69.04
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Spain leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $71.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $68.6
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $70.31
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $64.77
Potential profit: $57.55
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $64.28
Potential profit: $63.73
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$8.81

Yes position

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $51.11
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $53.02
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $9.21
Potential payout: $47.72
Potential profit: $38.51
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $46.31
Potential profit: $35.68
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $42.84
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.08
Potential payout: $41.93
Potential profit: $35.85
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $26.03
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $26.31
Potential profit: $26.09
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.63
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.79

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.56

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

Cleveland Guardians position

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Team WE position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?