Polymarket Trader

MaverickFlashdaddy

0xef7552421455666afee7ab50fffea489b88dfcbf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.87
Realized PnL: $23.27
Win rate: 43.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $71.94
Potential profit: $69.97
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $42.24
Potential profit: $39.18
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.12
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $22.34
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $17.21
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "vote" 30 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will YouTube take down Steven Crowder’s election livestream?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will Hailey Welch tweet again by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

GME halted today?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Trump signs national abortion ban?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Daniel Penny found guilty?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Hailey Welch jail in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

NATO article 5 before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Coinbase top 20 app December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 1-2.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Democrats position

Senate control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Lunchly recall in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 42.24 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 71.94 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 5.5% 18.18 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.8% 20.83 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?

No 5% 20 shares
Trump goes to space in 2026?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Yes 3.1% 31.75 shares