Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $36.8
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Polymarket Trader
0xef7f...6d85
0xef7fbeb1f28d47b6c2ec82efed66b6cb341c6d85
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.23
- Realized PnL
- $12.46
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $36.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $32.34
- Potential profit
- $30.69
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $12.89
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 30.9% 8 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 84% 16 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.1% 9 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 5.2% 26 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 9 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 78% 9 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.8% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.6% 5 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 81% 11 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 55.3% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 89.6% 7 shares