No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $93.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Polymarket Trader
guonri
@livelifeli
0xef8054e408e8f9c9806c0186e9ea310fc6957edf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.65
- Realized PnL
- $68.74
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.9% 5,499.99 shares
- Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 3% 20 shares
- Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?No 65% 20 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?No 62% 20 shares
- Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 14% 20 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?No 61% 20 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?No 52.7% 20 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?No 26% 20 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?No 26% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C on May 22?No 99.9% 109.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on May 22?No 99.9% 108.11 shares