Polymarket Trader

0xEF8c120357a9cEe61A8BF113934b3170fc9f8550-1770047303359

0xef8c120357a9cee61a8bf113934b3170fc9f8550

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $151.35
Realized PnL: $197.49
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $77.69
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $76.15
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $57.69

No position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.27
Potential profit: $143.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.79
Potential profit: $136.79
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $24.71
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $92.94
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $4.71

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $48.95
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $56.32
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $28.95

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.7
Potential profit: $56.7
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4
Potential profit: $2.4
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.74

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.17

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

No position

Peter Attia out by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?

No 13% 153.85 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

No 3.8% 52.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Up 41% 2.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 67% 1.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Up 42% 2.35 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

No 27% 11.11 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 74% 1.34 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 55% 1.79 shares
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Yes 11% 181.82 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Up 13% 7.67 shares
Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?

No 19% 105.26 shares
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares