Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$155.29
Polymarket Trader
BobSaget
0xefa455fe7c100c849a657efcdc436be3c7685bc6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.18
- Realized PnL
- $4.06K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.78
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$109.21
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$141
Yes position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$229.78
Yes position
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$57.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "tampon" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$189.33
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $991.16
- Potential profit
- $989.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$38.51
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $946.17
- Potential profit
- $946.17
- User PnL
- -$124.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $570.5
- Potential profit
- $570.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $521.21
- Potential profit
- $521.21
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.5
- Potential profit
- $515.5
- User PnL
- -$152.49
Yes position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.05
- Potential profit
- $400.05
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.9
- Potential profit
- $344.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.07
- Potential profit
- $275.07
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.99
- Potential profit
- $233.99
- User PnL
- -$58.84
Yes position
Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.57
- Potential profit
- $218.57
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.87
- Potential profit
- $151.87
- User PnL
- -$28.51
Yes position
Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.67
- Potential profit
- $107.67
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Trump say "Dana" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.95
- Potential profit
- $84.95
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump say "trans" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$23.8
Yes position
Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.98
- Potential profit
- $42.98
- User PnL
- -$26.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
Ends Feb 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $645.63
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.26
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $486.35
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.27
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.85
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.33
Yes position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.57
Yes position
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.8
No position
Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.6
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.07
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Biden say "Dementia" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Yes position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?Yes 18.8% 151.87 shares
- Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?Yes 29% 344.9 shares
- Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?Yes 58.9% 84.95 shares
- Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?Yes 18.3% 218.57 shares
- Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?Yes 62.5% 47.98 shares
- Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?Yes 27.9% 107.67 shares
- Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?Yes 35.4% 84.7 shares
- Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?Yes 15.8% 190.37 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 918.19 shares
- Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.3% 778.42 shares
- Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 198.49 shares
- Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 1,018.57 shares