Polymarket Trader

claystar

0xefa89c6a4fee427f40b2ad7aebfea0c76c5bc82b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.94K
Realized PnL: $29.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $121.8
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$183.71

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.9%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $9.04K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 4.58x
User PnL: $325.69

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $845.99
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$133.88

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $17.25
Potential profit: $16.48
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

No position

Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Will Trump say "fake news" on The Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $973.08

Yes position

Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.17

Yes position

Israel military action against Iraq before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $884.74

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.73

Yes position

No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.01

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428

No position

Will JD Vance say "Hitler" during the Joe Rogan podcast?

Ends Oct 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.37

No position

Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.82

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $340

Yes position

Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 32% 34.99 shares
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 29% 17 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 44.7% 306.17 shares
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 60.7% 109.19 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 22.5% 59 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 50 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23.3% 46 shares
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 24.9% 186.7 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23.4% 126.99 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23.4% 308.05 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23.9% 269.37 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 22.9% 59 shares