Polymarket Trader

0xefA93e8D8DD37D61948De0B485dC393e299cf4Fc-1766332995024

0xefa93e8d8dd37d61948de0b485dc393e299cf4fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.35
Realized PnL: $488.99
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.8
Potential profit: $491.8
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $33.35
Potential payout: $289.98
Potential profit: $256.63
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$88.44

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.33
Potential profit: $223.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.93
Potential profit: $221.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.15
Potential profit: $148.15
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will $DJT's market cap be between 4b and 4.25b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$20.9

Yes position

Venezuela Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Will $DJT's market cap be between 3.75b and 4b

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.53
Potential profit: $74.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.07
Potential profit: $13.07
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.09

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.81

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.46

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.81

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.11

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$237.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

Yes 1% 87.02 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

100k 84% 64.06 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Yes 79% 142.85 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Yes 97.3% 62.5 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

No 94.4% 120.49 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

No 94.6% 121.62 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 96.5% 240.96 shares
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Yes 6% 410.65 shares
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 42% 26.83 shares
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?

Yes 44.8% 223.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?

Yes 99.9% 115.18 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?

Yes 30.6% 13.07 shares