Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $15
Polymarket Trader
nashen
@NashenOPP
0xefabdd6fe129b35f636e1f4966f57ac6d9f3b927
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.8K
- Realized PnL
- $11.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$51.25
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $315
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $61.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $68.23
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $28.38
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- $143.09
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $696
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $104
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $678.73
- Potential payout
- $749.98
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $25.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $596.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- User PnL
- $244.42
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $215.12
- Potential payout
- $500.27
- Potential profit
- $285.15
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $32.89
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $26.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $473.25
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $207.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $292.49
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $314
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $86
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$268
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$118
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $184.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $115.5
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $163.74
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $86.24
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.5
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $434
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.41
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.59
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $319.01
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.18
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.91
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.45
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $240.58
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.2
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.12
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.2
No position
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.79
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.26
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.96
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes 18.7% 70 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 23% 100 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 59% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 67% 150 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 67% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 67% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 750 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 1.8% 225 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes 9% 11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 94% 1,399.99 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 98.4% 250 shares