Polymarket Trader

macrosteaks

0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.26K
Realized PnL: $161.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $586.34
Potential payout: $24.95K
Potential profit: $24.36K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $89.97

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $11.83K
Potential payout: $13.41K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$109.14

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $5.64K
Potential payout: $11.64K
Potential profit: $5.99K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $278.01

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $10.17K
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.01K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $10.4K
Potential payout: $10.52K
Potential profit: $126.28
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $481.6

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $321.31
Potential payout: $9.08K
Potential profit: $8.76K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $113.73

No position

Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $599.69
Potential payout: $8.27K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$613.29

No position

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $6.04K
Potential payout: $7.55K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$372.45

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $7.51K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$97.15

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $6.12K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$201.89

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $116.25
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.38K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $340.38
Potential payout: $7.48K
Potential profit: $7.14K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$13.58

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $5.88K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$297.05

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $4.92K
Potential payout: $7.08K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $4.3K
Potential payout: $6.82K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $618.55

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $29.54
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.54K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$258.18

Yes position

Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $6.24K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$297.47

Yes position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $522.96
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.29K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$20.66

No position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$186.39

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $4.82K
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $343.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $47.35
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $4.87K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85K

No position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95K

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14K

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53K

Yes position

Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

No position

Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94K

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

No position

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13K

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.05K

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

Yes position

Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Leviatan Esports position

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

No 66% 5 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 33% 6 shares
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

No 1.2% 249 shares
Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 43% 1.71 shares
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Yes 92.8% 221 shares
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Yes 0.4% 1,161.12 shares
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

No 1.9% 1,452.77 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.9% 1,391 shares
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan

Afghanistan 6% 934 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 14% 100 shares
Will Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.3% 38 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 14% 100 shares