Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $55.91
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $998.91
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $6.33
Polymarket Trader
0xefb7...fdec
0xefb776993f5d6415a7c67b472a68b1ae7ec9fdec
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $185.87
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $988.19
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $32.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $29.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.67
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 65.6% 51.87 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.7% 1,054.82 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17% 80.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 693.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 717.97 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96.3% 476.52 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.7% 123.32 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 49% 78.04 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.4% 817.64 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.5% 528.06 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 63% 455.4 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1% 1,411.85 shares