Polymarket Trader

0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606

0xefb90c1fecffb3874ab75b1e73ee81bb87874383

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $435.2
Realized PnL: $83.91
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $202.83
Potential payout: $231.8
Potential profit: $28.98
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.07
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $31.82
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $32.46
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $13.82

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $61.05
Potential payout: $61.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $29.04
Potential payout: $54.78
Potential profit: $25.75
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $38.96
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $12.99
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.56
Potential payout: $50.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $13.12
Potential payout: $41.65
Potential profit: $28.53
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.53
Potential profit: $15.53
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $11.68
Potential profit: $8.98
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.88
Potential profit: $7.88
User PnL: -$1.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.7
Potential profit: $6.7
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 50.56 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 42.8% 11.68 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 77% 51.95 shares
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 81.9% 61.05 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 49% 10.2 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 86.1% 174.28 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 80.7% 32.24 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 79.1% 25.28 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 61% 24.85 shares