Polymarket Trader

0xEfbD0DCc0501EeC9a212A7935d7aE31F43228086-1758206606613

0xefbd0dcc0501eec9a212a7935d7ae31f43228086

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.65K
Realized PnL: $22.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $790.5
Potential payout: $51K
Potential profit: $50.21K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$178.5

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.93K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $16.2K
Potential profit: $16.16K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$644.97

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $4.32K
User PnL: -$1.65K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $112
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.89K
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$88

Manchester City position

Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$2.02K

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.48K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$871.74

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$480

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$333

Under position

Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$1.52K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.84K
User PnL: -$1.57K

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $66.51
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$17.65

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$530.58

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $569.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $49.8

Newcastle position

Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$140

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27K

Under position

Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $915

No position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800

Arsenal FC position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.56

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746.33

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.99

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.16

No position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

Yes position

Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.92

Under position

Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Under 69% 411.8 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 37.1% 500 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Over 60% 587 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5

Under 63% 109 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 50.7% 500 shares
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5

Under 56% 543.88 shares
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 43% 800 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 19% 1,000 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

No 43% 500 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 57% 400 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 39% 460 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 64% 400 shares