Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
483729
0xefc0df9e4f6f5abfdaa5774f5f4ce52382318c11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.48
- Realized PnL
- $13.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.8% 2.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.2% 2.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Yes 94% 2.13 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?No 96% 2.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?Yes 95% 2.11 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 2.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 99.1% 2.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.4% 2.07 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?No 99.8% 2 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No 94.8% 2.11 shares
- Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes 96% 2.08 shares
- Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes 97.8% 2.04 shares