Polymarket Trader

-911-

0xefc3ab788598587bf8cfa84fadea579e9b1e77f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.71
Realized PnL: $8.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.54
Potential profit: $12.54
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.3
Potential profit: $7.3
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $4.96
User PnL: -$0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $4.11
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $3.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88
Potential profit: $2.88
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dog" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Coward" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 20% 5 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?

Yes 47% 2.04 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Up 46% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Up 33% 2.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Down 19% 4.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Up 23% 3.87 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 4.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Down 34% 5.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Down 57% 1.65 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

No 8% 25 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares